Home Solar Savings Calculator

Enter your monthly bill and state — we'll size a rooftop system, apply the 30% federal tax credit, and project 25-year savings.

Your Home & Bill

Pick your state to auto-fill utility rate and peak sun hours, then enter your average monthly electric bill.

EIA 2024 avg rate + NREL sun hours.

$/mo

Your 12-month average.

¢/kWh

Editable — check your latest bill.

hrs

NREL state average.

System Options

Ownership

sq ft

Caps system at ~17 W/sq ft usable.

%/yr

Historic US avg ≈ 2.5–3.5%.

The Math

How It Works

Every number above comes from standard utility math and NREL sun data. Here are the four calculations that drive each output.

/01

Annual Usage From Your Bill

Your bill tells us dollars per month, but solar sizing works in kWh. Multiply your monthly spend by 12 and divide by your utility rate to get total annual consumption. This is the energy your panels need to offset.

State rates come from EIA residential averages; you can override the field if your actual rate (printed on your bill) is higher or lower. Tiered rate plans and time-of-use schedules will shift your effective rate above the simple average.

annual kWh = (monthly bill × 12) ÷ rate ($/kWh)
/02

System Sizing From Sun Hours

Peak sun hours are not the same as daylight hours — one peak sun hour represents 1,000 W/m² of irradiance sustained for an hour. NREL publishes state averages through the PVWatts solar resource dataset, derived from decades of TMY (Typical Meteorological Year) measurements.

We divide your annual usage by the energy a 1 kW system produces in a year (sun hours × 365 × 0.8 efficiency derate). The 0.8 factor covers panel temperature losses, inverter conversion, and wiring resistance — standard for residential rooftop systems.

kW = annual kWh ÷ (sun hours × 365 × 0.8)
/03

Federal Tax Credit & Payback

Gross cost uses $3.00–$3.50 per installed watt — the 2024 US average for a residential system including panels, inverter, racking, wiring, permits, and labor. You apply the 30% federal Investment Tax Credit to the gross to get net cost.

Simple payback divides net cost by your year-one savings. It ignores the time value of money and future rate increases (those are captured in the 25-year projection below). The ITC only applies if you buy the system outright or finance it — leased systems don't qualify.

net cost = gross × 0.70  ·  payback = net cost ÷ year-1 savings
/04

25-Year Savings With Rate Escalation

US residential electricity rates have risen roughly 2.5–3.5% per year over the last two decades. Once your system is paid off, every additional kWh you generate is locked-in savings at whatever the grid rate climbs to.

We project 25 years of savings using a geometric series: year-one savings compounded annually at your chosen escalation rate. The default is 3% — adjust it lower if your utility is regulated or higher if you live somewhere rates have outpaced inflation.

total = year1 × ((1 + g)^25 − 1) ÷ g     (g = escalation rate)

FAQ

Is solar worth it for my home?

For most US homeowners with a south- or west-facing roof and an electric bill above $100/month, solar pays back in 7–11 years and produces free electricity for 15+ years after that. The biggest variables are your utility rate, peak sun hours, and whether you can claim the 30% federal tax credit.

Homes in high-rate states like California, Massachusetts, or Hawaii see the fastest payback. In low-rate states like Washington or Louisiana, payback can stretch past 12 years — solar still saves money, just more slowly.

How is the federal solar tax credit (ITC) calculated?

The federal Investment Tax Credit is 30% of the total installed cost through 2032: panels, inverter, racking, wiring, permits, and labor all count. You claim it on Form 5695 the year your system is placed in service.

You must own the system to claim it. Cash purchases and solar loans both qualify. Leases and Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs) do not — the leasing company claims the credit, not you.

Should I buy, finance, or lease solar panels?

Cash purchase gives the highest lifetime savings and shortest payback. Solar loans let you keep the ITC and add 1–3 years to payback depending on the rate — total 25-year savings are nearly identical to cash if rates are reasonable.

Leases and PPAs require no upfront cost, but you give up the 30% tax credit and any state incentives. Total savings over 25 years are typically 40–60% lower than owning. They can still make sense if you can't use the tax credit or don't want long-term ownership.

Does net metering affect my savings?

Net metering lets your utility credit you for excess solar power you export to the grid. This calculator assumes a 1:1 credit — every kWh you send back offsets a kWh you later draw. That's still standard in most of the US.

Some states have moved to lower export rates: California's NEM 3.0 credits exports at roughly 25% of the retail rate, which can cut bill savings 20–40% for typical homes without batteries. Check your utility's current net-metering policy before signing a quote.

How accurate are these savings estimates?

The math is standard solar engineering: annual usage from your bill, system size from NREL peak sun hours, and an 0.8 derate factor for real-world losses (panel temperature, inverter, wiring). Cost assumes $3.00–$3.50 per installed watt — the 2024 US average for residential systems.

Actual quotes vary by installer, roof complexity, equipment brand, and local incentives that aren't modeled here (state rebates, SREC markets, utility-specific programs). Use this calculator to size up the opportunity, then get 2–3 quotes before signing anything.

How long do solar panels last?

Modern monocrystalline panels carry 25-year production warranties and typically still generate at least 85% of their rated output at year 25. The cells themselves often keep producing usable power past 30 years.

The inverter is the part most likely to need replacement during the system's life — most last 10–15 years. Budget $1,500–$3,000 for one inverter replacement; microinverters and hybrid inverters carry longer warranties (20–25 years) but cost more up front.

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